Our major result is that explosive volcanic eruptions are strongly,
and persistently, implicated in the occurrence of cold weather events
over this long timescale in Ireland.”
The media release is below.
###
Irish chronicles reveal links between cold weather and volcanic eruptions
Medieval chronicles have given an international group of researchers a
glimpse into the past to assess how historical volcanic eruptions
affected the weather in Ireland up to 1500 years ago.
By critically assessing over 40,000 written entries in the Irish
Annals and comparing them with measurements taken from ice cores, the
researchers successfully linked the climatic aftermath of volcanic
eruptions to extreme cold weather events in Ireland over a 1200-year
period from 431 to 1649.
Their study, which has been published today, 6 June, in IOP
Publishing’s journal Environmental Research Letters, showed that over
this timescale up to 48 explosive volcanic eruptions could be identified
in the Greenland Ice Sheet Project (GISP2) ice-core, which records the
deposition of volcanic sulfate in annual layers of ice.
Of these 48 volcanic events, 38 were associated, closely in time,
with 37 extreme cold events, which were identified by systematically
examining written entries in the Irish Annals and picking out directly
observed meteorological phenomena and conditions, such as heavy snowfall
and frost, prolonged ice covering lakes and rivers, and contemporary
descriptions of abnormally cold weather.
Lead author of the study, Dr Francis Ludlow, from the Harvard
University Center for the Environment and Department of History, said:
“It’s clear that the scribes of the Irish Annals were diligent reporters
of severe cold weather, most probably because of the negative impacts
this had on society and the biosphere.
“Our major result is that explosive volcanic eruptions are strongly,
and persistently, implicated in the occurrence of cold weather events
over this long timescale in Ireland. In their severity, these events are
quite rare for the country’s mild maritime climate.”
Through the injection of sulphur dioxide gas into the stratosphere,
volcanic eruptions can play a significant role in the regulation of the
Earth’s climate. Sulphur dioxide gas is converted into sulphate aerosol
particles after eruptions which reflect incoming sunlight and result in
an overall temporary cooling of the Earth’s surface.
Whilst the global effects of recent eruptions are quite well-known,
such as the Mount Pinatubo eruption almost 22 years ago (15 June 1991),
less is known about their effects on climate before the beginning of
instrumental weather recording, or their effects on regional scales; the
Irish Annals provided an opportunity to explore both of these issues.
The Irish Annals contain over one million written words and around
40,000 distinct written entries, detailing major historical events on an
annual basis, and providing both systematic and sustained reporting of
meteorological extremes.
The dating and reliability of the Annals can be gauged by comparing
reported events to those which are independently known, such as solar
and lunar eclipses.
“With a few honourable exceptions, the Irish record of extreme events
has only been used anecdotally, rather than systematically surveyed and
exploited for the study of the climate history of Ireland and the North
Atlantic, and so the richness of the record has been largely
unrecognized,” continued Dr Ludlow.
Although the effect of big eruptions on the climate in summer is
largely to cause cooling, during the winter, low-latitude eruptions in
the tropics have instead been known to warm large parts of the northern
hemisphere as they cause a strengthening of the westerly winds that
brings, for example, warmer oceanic air to Europe; however, this study
identified several instances when low-latitude eruptions appeared to
correspond to extreme cold winters in Ireland.
One example is the 1600 eruption in Peru of Huaynaputina, which the
researchers found, against expectations, to be associated with extreme
cold winter weather in Ireland in the following years.
“The possibility that tropical eruptions may result in severe winter
cooling for Ireland highlights the considerable complexity of the
volcano-climate system in terms of the regional expression of the
response of climate to volcanic disturbances.
“It is on the regional scale that we need to refine our understanding
of this relationship as ultimately, it is on this scale that
individuals and societies plan for extreme weather,” continued Dr
Ludlow.
http://junkscience.com/2013/06/05/study-volcanic-eruptions-linked-to-cold-weather-in-ireland-for-1200-years/
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